Saint-Lô Manche vs Union Sportive Fougères analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
3º
12º
12º
2
11º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 55 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 54 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 49 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 42 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 37 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 36 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 33 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 31 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 28 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
|
11º
|
2 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
4º
|
5 | 25 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 23 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 17 |
14º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
36.5% | 35.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11.5% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation
|
52% | 50% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Lô Manche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 1
SAI
65%
18%
16%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 0
ERG
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LAT
2 - 0
SAI
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 2
DIN
12%
20%
68%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AFV
2 - 0
SAI
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Union Sportive Fougères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
USF
1 - 1
LAN
31%
23%
46%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
STA
2 - 0
USF
82%
12%
7%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AFV
3 - 0
USF
68%
19%
14%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 0
USF
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
USF
0 - 7
LHA
7%
16%
77%
|
27 | 76 | 49 | 0 |