Saint-Lô Manche vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
68.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Lô Manche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
SAI
1 - 1
CHA
13%
24%
63%
|
24 | 68 | 44 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
SAI
1 - 3
ANG
33%
25%
42%
|
25 | 57 | 32 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1995 |
SAI
1 - 1
FCM
25%
23%
52%
|
24 | 60 | 36 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
SAI
2 - 1
BRE
12%
21%
68%
|
23 | 75 | 52 | +1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
REN
1 - 1
CAE
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1997 |
GIR
0 - 0
CAE
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
CAE
2 - 3
AUX
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAE
14%
22%
64%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
CAE
1 - 0
MET
37%
30%
33%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |