Saint Francis vs Mount St. Mary's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Francis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SFU
4 - 0
CCU
22%
20%
58%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SHP
2 - 1
SFU
35%
22%
42%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
FDK
2 - 0
SFU
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SFU
0 - 1
MMW
22%
20%
58%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Mount St. Mary's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SHP
1 - 0
MMM
53%
21%
26%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MMM
0 - 1
FBT
12%
17%
71%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
MMM
1 - 4
CCU
21%
20%
58%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BBD
3 - 1
MMM
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
LIU
4 - 0
MMM
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |