Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-1
Saint-Étienne vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.5%
14.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1962 |
ASS
4 - 3
REI
53%
20%
27%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1962 |
MPL
4 - 3
ASS
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1962 |
ASS
1 - 1
SFP
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1962 |
STR
2 - 1
ASS
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1962 |
NÎM
1 - 0
ASS
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1962 |
SLB
3 - 0
VST
90%
7%
3%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1962 |
BEL
0 - 1
VST
76%
14%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 1962 |
VST
0 - 0
BEL
42%
23%
35%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1962 |
VST
2 - 0
LEX
53%
20%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
LEX
2 - 1
VST
66%
16%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |