Saint-Étienne vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ETG
2 - 2
ASS
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ASS
2 - 0
TRO
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
PSG
1 - 2
ASS
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
SOC
0 - 3
ASS
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
ASS
2 - 0
REN
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 1
MPL
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 3
VAL
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 1
SOC
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LIL
2 - 1
VAL
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
VAL
6 - 1
LOR
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |