Saint-Étienne vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
MON
1 - 1
ASS
60%
24%
17%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
SOC
1 - 0
ASS
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
ASS
1 - 2
MAR
35%
28%
38%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
VAL
1 - 0
ASS
32%
29%
39%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ASS
2 - 1
LIL
39%
28%
33%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
VAL
3 - 1
TFC
34%
29%
37%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
VAL
1 - 3
AUX
25%
28%
47%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
SED
1 - 1
VAL
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
VAL
1 - 0
ASS
32%
29%
39%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
SOC
1 - 0
VAL
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |