Saint-Étienne vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
SOC
1 - 1
ASS
28%
25%
47%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
ASS
1 - 0
ANG
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
AJA
1 - 1
ASS
20%
24%
56%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
ASS
4 - 1
ASN
79%
15%
7%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
SED
3 - 1
ASS
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
VAL
3 - 0
STR
38%
30%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
NÎM
4 - 1
VAL
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
VAL
1 - 1
GIR
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
NIC
4 - 2
VAL
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
VAL
0 - 0
REN
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |