Saint-Étienne vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1962 |
FCN
3 - 0
ASS
60%
19%
21%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1962 |
ASS
0 - 0
FCN
67%
17%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
VST
0 - 3
ASS
51%
21%
28%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1962 |
ASS
1 - 1
VST
70%
16%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1962 |
ASS
4 - 3
REI
53%
20%
27%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1963 |
TFC
5 - 1
VAL
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1963 |
VAL
0 - 1
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1963 |
STR
0 - 2
VAL
48%
23%
28%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
VAL
1 - 1
SED
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1963 |
NIC
2 - 0
VAL
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |