Saint-Étienne vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
LEN
2 - 0
ASS
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1978 |
ASS
1 - 0
STL
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
SOC
2 - 3
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
ASS
2 - 0
MET
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1978 |
ASS
2 - 1
FCR
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
BAS
6 - 0
TRO
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
TRO
2 - 3
ASN
41%
26%
34%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1978 |
MON
1 - 1
TRO
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1978 |
TRO
3 - 1
PSG
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1978 |
TRO
0 - 0
LEN
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |