Saint-Étienne vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1986 |
LEN
2 - 0
ASS
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1986 |
ASS
1 - 0
PSG
33%
29%
39%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1986 |
LHA
1 - 0
ASS
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1986 |
ASS
0 - 0
ASN
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1986 |
SOC
3 - 3
ASS
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1986 |
TFC
2 - 0
AUX
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1986 |
STL
0 - 0
TFC
38%
29%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1986 |
MAR
2 - 1
TFC
52%
24%
25%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1986 |
TFC
2 - 1
MON
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 1986 |
LEN
1 - 1
TFC
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |