Saint-Étienne vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1983 |
FCR
0 - 1
ASS
30%
29%
42%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1983 |
ASS
0 - 0
TOU
63%
22%
16%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
AUX
4 - 1
ASS
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1983 |
ASS
1 - 0
LIL
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1983 |
MET
1 - 1
ASS
36%
28%
37%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1983 |
STR
1 - 1
PSG
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1983 |
LEN
2 - 1
STR
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
STR
0 - 4
MON
38%
29%
33%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1983 |
FCM
2 - 0
STR
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
STR
2 - 0
NAN
28%
28%
44%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |