Saint-Étienne vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1964 |
SED
3 - 0
ASS
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
NAN
1 - 3
ASS
50%
21%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
ASS
3 - 0
REN
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1964 |
ASS
4 - 0
GIR
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
ASS
1 - 0
FCR
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1964 |
STR
2 - 1
REN
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
STR
2 - 1
NIC
50%
23%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
FCR
3 - 0
STR
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1964 |
STR
1 - 2
LEN
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1964 |
STR
2 - 0
SED
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |