Saint-Étienne vs Stade Brestois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
22.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
AUX
3 - 0
ASS
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
ASS
0 - 0
STL
54%
28%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1986 |
MON
0 - 0
ASS
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1986 |
ASS
0 - 0
TFC
40%
29%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1986 |
LEN
2 - 0
ASS
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
STL
1 - 0
BRE
48%
27%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
BRE
0 - 0
AUX
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1986 |
TFC
5 - 0
BRE
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1986 |
BRE
1 - 0
MON
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1986 |
PSG
1 - 0
BRE
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |