Europa League 1/16
Global 2-0
Saint-Étienne vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1980 |
LEN
1 - 1
ASS
37%
27%
36%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
STM
0 - 0
ASS
28%
24%
47%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1980 |
ASS
3 - 0
SOC
69%
18%
12%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1980 |
STL
0 - 0
ASS
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
PSG
1 - 1
ASS
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1980 |
HOM
1 - 1
STM
36%
30%
34%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
STM
1 - 1
GRE
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
STM
0 - 0
ASS
28%
24%
47%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
ABE
3 - 2
STM
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1980 |
STM
0 - 2
CEL
40%
27%
34%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |