Saint-Étienne vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
21.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1986 |
LIL
1 - 0
ASS
48%
27%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1986 |
ASS
4 - 0
RAC
52%
27%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
MET
1 - 1
ASS
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 0
ASS
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
ASS
1 - 1
BRE
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
SPO
2 - 3
BRE
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1986 |
AUX
2 - 0
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
SPO
3 - 0
STL
51%
28%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1986 |
SPO
0 - 0
LHA
48%
26%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
LEN
2 - 1
SPO
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |