Champions League 1/16
Global 3-1
Saint-Étienne vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1974 |
SOC
1 - 1
ASS
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1974 |
ASS
2 - 0
RED
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1974 |
LIL
2 - 0
ASS
25%
26%
49%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1974 |
NAN
2 - 1
ASS
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1974 |
ASS
4 - 0
NÎM
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
SCP
1 - 0
ACA
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
OLH
1 - 0
SCP
17%
25%
59%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1974 |
SCP
2 - 1
SLB
61%
21%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1974 |
SCP
2 - 1
OLH
89%
7%
3%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1974 |
SCP
2 - 0
BOA
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |