Saint-Étienne vs FC Rouen 1899 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASS
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
ASS
0 - 2
AMI
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
BRC
0 - 1
ASS
37%
29%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
ASS
1 - 0
VAL
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
SED
1 - 2
ASS
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Rouen 1899
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
FCR
1 - 4
CHA
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
LHA
2 - 0
FCR
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
FCR
1 - 1
ASN
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
FCG
2 - 1
FCR
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
FCR
2 - 1
NIO
41%
28%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |