Saint-Étienne vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
6.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1972 |
NIC
1 - 2
ASS
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1972 |
ASS
4 - 0
LIL
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1972 |
ASN
3 - 1
ASS
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1972 |
ASS
0 - 1
ANG
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1972 |
GIR
0 - 2
ASS
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1972 |
RED
2 - 1
BAS
45%
26%
30%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1972 |
NÎM
2 - 0
RED
82%
12%
6%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1972 |
RED
1 - 2
NIC
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
RED
1 - 0
REN
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1972 |
ASN
1 - 1
RED
66%
22%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |