Champions League Last 16
Global 1-0
Saint-Étienne vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1976 |
ASS
1 - 1
LYO
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
PSG
2 - 0
ASS
34%
28%
39%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
ASS
1 - 0
CSK
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
ASS
4 - 0
REN
74%
17%
10%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
LIL
1 - 0
ASS
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
GAE
2 - 5
PSV
22%
25%
54%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
PSV
5 - 2
TEL
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
PSV
6 - 0
DUN
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
UTR
1 - 0
PSV
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
PSV
3 - 0
TWE
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |