Saint-Étienne vs Perpignan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
SPO
1 - 0
ASS
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
ASS
0 - 1
NIO
61%
22%
16%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
LOR
2 - 0
ASS
44%
28%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
ASS
2 - 2
ASB
77%
16%
8%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
ASS
1 - 1
SOC
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Perpignan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
PER
1 - 3
VAL
47%
29%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
STL
1 - 0
PER
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
PER
0 - 0
TRO
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
SOC
3 - 0
PER
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
PER
0 - 0
CHA
58%
26%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |