Saint-Étienne vs Paris FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
NÎM
2 - 2
ASS
45%
27%
29%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
ASS
5 - 1
LIL
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1978 |
STR
2 - 1
ASS
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1978 |
ASS
2 - 0
REI
67%
20%
14%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1978 |
STL
2 - 1
ASS
32%
25%
43%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Paris FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
REI
0 - 2
PFC
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
PFC
1 - 2
MET
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1978 |
LIL
4 - 2
PFC
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1978 |
PFC
1 - 0
NÎM
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1978 |
NAN
2 - 0
PFC
79%
13%
8%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |