Saint-Étienne vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
LYO
0 - 0
ASS
35%
28%
38%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
WLO
2 - 1
ASS
33%
26%
42%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1979 |
ASS
4 - 2
NAN
48%
26%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1979 |
BRE
0 - 2
ASS
23%
24%
54%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1979 |
ASS
2 - 1
SOC
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
PSG
1 - 2
ASN
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1979 |
LEN
1 - 1
PSG
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1979 |
NAN
4 - 2
PSG
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1979 |
PSG
0 - 0
BRE
73%
17%
11%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1979 |
MON
2 - 2
PSG
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |