Saint-Étienne vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1974 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASS
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1974 |
ASS
5 - 1
HKS
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1974 |
ASS
1 - 0
LYO
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1974 |
REN
3 - 1
ASS
31%
27%
43%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1974 |
ASS
5 - 0
MET
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1974 |
PSG
1 - 1
NÎM
48%
25%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1974 |
GIR
1 - 2
PSG
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1974 |
PSG
0 - 1
MON
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1974 |
TRO
1 - 3
PSG
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1974 |
PSG
3 - 1
LEN
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |