Saint-Étienne vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
9.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1979 |
ARI
3 - 3
ASS
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1979 |
LIL
0 - 2
ASS
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
ASS
3 - 3
GIR
77%
15%
9%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1979 |
ASS
4 - 1
ARI
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
NIC
2 - 4
ASS
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
MAR
0 - 2
PSG
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1979 |
NAN
4 - 1
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
MAR
0 - 2
STL
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
SOC
3 - 0
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1979 |
MAR
0 - 3
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |