Saint-Étienne vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
ASS
2 - 1
NIC
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
REN
0 - 3
ASS
27%
25%
48%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1970 |
ASS
1 - 0
LYO
78%
14%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
ASS
1 - 0
CAG
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1970 |
BAS
4 - 2
ASS
26%
21%
53%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
MAR
2 - 2
SOC
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
VAL
1 - 2
MAR
26%
27%
47%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1970 |
NAN
1 - 3
MAR
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
MAR
2 - 0
TNV
66%
19%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1970 |
MAR
5 - 0
ANG
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |