Saint-Étienne vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
ASS
1 - 3
GUI
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
AMI
1 - 0
ASS
22%
25%
54%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ASS
1 - 2
PAU
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BOU
0 - 3
ASS
19%
20%
62%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AUX
5 - 2
ASS
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
RED
2 - 0
NÎM
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
NÎM
2 - 3
ORL
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ROA
1 - 3
NÎM
5%
10%
85%
|
56 | 7 | 49 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
VER
6 - 0
NÎM
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
NÎM
1 - 3
SPI
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |