Saint-Étienne vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
23.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ASS
1 - 1
AUX
45%
27%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
REN
1 - 0
ASS
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ASS
1 - 0
GRE
62%
23%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ASS
0 - 1
USB
65%
22%
14%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
TFC
3 - 1
ASS
43%
28%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
NIC
1 - 3
MON
41%
29%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
AUX
2 - 0
NIC
43%
29%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
NIC
0 - 3
MPL
55%
26%
19%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
GIR
4 - 0
NIC
66%
21%
12%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
NIC
1 - 1
REN
39%
29%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |