Saint-Étienne vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
29.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
ASN
2 - 0
ASS
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
PSG
2 - 2
ASS
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
ASS
1 - 3
TFC
50%
27%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
SOC
4 - 0
ASS
48%
27%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
MET
0 - 1
ASS
40%
28%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
LMU
2 - 0
NIC
38%
29%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
MON
0 - 1
NIC
69%
20%
11%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
NIC
2 - 0
LIL
30%
30%
39%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
NIC
1 - 0
PSG
32%
30%
38%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2006 |
NIC
2 - 1
GIR
34%
31%
36%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |