Saint-Étienne vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
33.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
ASS
0 - 0
ASN
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
DIJ
0 - 0
ASS
37%
27%
37%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ASS
2 - 0
LHA
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
LIL
2 - 3
ASS
61%
24%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
ASS
2 - 1
NIO
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
SOC
0 - 0
NIC
65%
21%
15%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
MOU
0 - 1
NIC
12%
22%
65%
|
81 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
NIC
2 - 0
GUI
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
NIC
1 - 0
MET
47%
28%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
TFC
1 - 1
NIC
37%
28%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |