Saint-Étienne vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
42%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1986 |
NIC
1 - 0
ASS
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1986 |
ASS
1 - 0
SPO
51%
27%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1986 |
LIL
1 - 0
ASS
48%
27%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1986 |
ASS
4 - 0
RAC
52%
27%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
MET
1 - 1
ASS
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1986 |
NAN
0 - 0
BRE
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 0
NAN
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
NAN
1 - 1
STL
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1986 |
LEN
2 - 2
NAN
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
NAN
2 - 1
TFC
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |