Saint-Étienne vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
17.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
ASS
3 - 0
PSG
33%
29%
38%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
NIC
0 - 1
ASS
43%
28%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
ASS
0 - 0
SOC
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
TFC
1 - 1
ASS
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
ASS
2 - 0
MET
48%
27%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
ASN
1 - 1
MET
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
AJA
1 - 0
ASN
54%
26%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
ASN
6 - 0
REN
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
LYO
1 - 0
ASN
77%
16%
7%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
ASN
1 - 2
LEN
29%
29%
43%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |