Saint-Étienne vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
LUS
0 - 0
ASS
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
ASS
2 - 0
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
CAE
0 - 0
ASS
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
ASS
1 - 0
ASB
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2003 |
ASS
4 - 1
AMI
59%
24%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2003 |
ASN
0 - 2
IST
60%
24%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2003 |
MET
4 - 0
ASN
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
ASN
2 - 1
REI
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
TFC
0 - 0
ASN
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
CAE
2 - 0
ASN
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |