Saint-Étienne vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
MAR
3 - 3
ASS
73%
18%
10%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
ASS
0 - 2
NAN
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1999 |
MON
2 - 2
ASS
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
SED
3 - 0
ASS
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
ASS
0 - 0
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
ASN
3 - 0
LHA
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
SED
3 - 1
ASN
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
AUX
2 - 1
ASN
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
SOC
1 - 1
ASN
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
ASN
1 - 2
MON
21%
26%
54%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |