Saint-Étienne vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
ANG
2 - 1
ASS
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
ASS
1 - 1
RAC
44%
22%
35%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
SED
1 - 0
ASS
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1961 |
ASS
4 - 1
TFC
61%
20%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
REN
1 - 1
ASS
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
ASN
2 - 1
FCR
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
REI
2 - 0
ASN
82%
11%
7%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
LHA
1 - 1
ASN
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1961 |
ASN
0 - 3
SED
50%
22%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
MPL
1 - 0
ASN
49%
23%
29%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |