Saint-Étienne vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
ASS
5 - 0
NÎM
50%
22%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1961 |
MON
1 - 0
ASS
61%
21%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1961 |
NÎM
0 - 2
ASS
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
ASS
1 - 0
TFC
61%
20%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1961 |
MON
3 - 0
ASS
61%
20%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
MPL
4 - 2
LYO
51%
22%
27%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1961 |
MPL
5 - 0
SED
43%
23%
33%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +2 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
MPL
0 - 3
SFP
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 May. 1953 |
ASN
3 - 0
MPL
64%
19%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
MET
1 - 1
MPL
63%
19%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |