Saint-Étienne vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1983 |
BRE
3 - 2
ASS
41%
27%
33%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1983 |
ASS
0 - 4
LEN
59%
24%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1983 |
STL
1 - 1
ASS
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1983 |
ASS
1 - 1
BAS
64%
22%
15%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1983 |
GIR
1 - 1
ASS
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1983 |
SPO
0 - 0
MET
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1983 |
MET
1 - 0
BRE
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1983 |
LEN
3 - 2
MET
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1983 |
LIL
1 - 1
MET
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1983 |
STL
2 - 1
MET
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |