Saint-Étienne vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASS
30%
23%
48%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1968 |
ASS
1 - 0
NÎM
79%
14%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
RED
0 - 0
ASS
29%
25%
46%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1968 |
ASS
2 - 0
STR
80%
13%
6%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1968 |
NIC
2 - 3
ASS
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
MET
0 - 1
SED
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
SOC
5 - 2
MET
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
MET
0 - 0
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1968 |
GIR
1 - 0
MET
65%
20%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1968 |
MAR
0 - 1
MET
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |