Saint-Étienne vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
ASN
0 - 1
ASS
42%
28%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
CHA
2 - 0
ASS
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
ASS
2 - 1
GRE
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2003 |
CLE
1 - 0
ASS
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
ASS
1 - 0
STL
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
LOR
2 - 0
LHA
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
FCG
1 - 1
LOR
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
LOR
3 - 0
REI
67%
22%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2003 |
VAL
1 - 1
LOR
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 0
AMI
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |