Saint-Étienne vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
FCG
0 - 2
ASS
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
ASS
0 - 0
REI
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
AMI
1 - 0
ASS
35%
27%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
ASS
3 - 0
IST
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
GRE
1 - 0
ASS
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
LOR
3 - 4
LMU
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
MET
2 - 1
LOR
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
IST
1 - 1
LOR
22%
24%
54%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
LOR
1 - 0
TFC
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2002 |
REI
1 - 3
LOR
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |