Saint-Étienne vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
53.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
14º
18º
17º
6
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 80 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 68 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 64 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 58 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 57 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 56 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 45 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 42 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 33 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
|
16º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 19% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
51% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
33.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
4 - 0
ASS
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ASS
0 - 2
LHA
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
ASS
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HOL
2 - 3
ASS
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
GET
1 - 0
ASS
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 3
PSG
32%
23%
45%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
SLP
2 - 1
LIL
34%
26%
39%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 0
ANG
77%
16%
8%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 0
SLP
67%
19%
14%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
REI
0 - 2
LIL
27%
27%
46%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | +1 |