Saint-Étienne vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
32.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
ASS
2 - 1
MAR
36%
29%
35%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
NAN
1 - 1
ASS
50%
26%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
ASS
3 - 0
LMU
49%
27%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
LIL
2 - 0
ASS
57%
25%
19%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
ASS
0 - 2
ASN
57%
25%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
LIL
2 - 0
NAN
52%
26%
22%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
MUD
0 - 0
LIL
72%
19%
9%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
LMU
1 - 1
LIL
31%
29%
40%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
LIL
0 - 1
MON
34%
28%
38%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
LIL
0 - 0
VIL
34%
28%
38%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |