Saint-Étienne vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1989 |
SOC
2 - 3
ASS
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1989 |
ASS
0 - 1
RAC
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
MPL
3 - 3
ASS
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1989 |
ASS
4 - 3
MET
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
NIC
1 - 3
ASS
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1989 |
LIL
3 - 0
SPO
55%
26%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1989 |
LIL
5 - 0
SOC
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
MET
1 - 1
LIL
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1989 |
LIL
1 - 0
MPL
51%
26%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
RAC
2 - 0
LIL
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |