Saint-Étienne vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
LYO
0 - 1
ASS
32%
27%
41%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
ASS
1 - 0
BRE
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1982 |
AUX
3 - 1
ASS
28%
25%
47%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
ASS
3 - 1
LEN
77%
15%
8%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1982 |
PSG
0 - 0
ASS
42%
26%
33%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1982 |
MPL
2 - 1
LIL
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1982 |
LIL
0 - 1
GIR
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
LYO
4 - 1
LIL
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1982 |
LIL
1 - 0
NAN
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1982 |
NIC
2 - 0
LIL
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |