Saint-Étienne vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1972 |
ASN
3 - 1
ASS
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1972 |
ASS
0 - 1
ANG
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1972 |
GIR
0 - 2
ASS
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1972 |
ASS
2 - 1
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1972 |
AJA
2 - 1
ASS
25%
24%
52%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1972 |
LIL
1 - 0
BAS
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1972 |
NÎM
5 - 2
LIL
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1972 |
LIL
3 - 3
NIC
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1972 |
RED
0 - 0
LIL
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1972 |
LIL
1 - 1
ASN
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |