Saint-Étienne vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
ASS
0 - 3
NAN
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1965 |
LEN
2 - 1
ASS
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
LYO
1 - 1
ASS
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1965 |
ASS
0 - 0
SFP
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1965 |
ANG
1 - 1
ASS
37%
24%
39%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1965 |
LIL
2 - 1
NIC
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1965 |
FCR
1 - 1
LIL
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1965 |
NAN
3 - 1
LIL
72%
16%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1965 |
LIL
0 - 0
GIR
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
SFP
1 - 1
LIL
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |