Saint-Étienne vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
ASS
2 - 2
LAC
76%
13%
11%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1964 |
NAN
4 - 1
ASS
49%
21%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1964 |
ASS
0 - 1
GIR
60%
21%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
ASS
2 - 2
STR
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
SED
3 - 0
ASS
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
LIL
3 - 0
MON
37%
25%
39%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1964 |
SPO
3 - 1
LIL
42%
25%
34%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1959 |
MON
3 - 0
LIL
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
LIL
0 - 0
NÎM
41%
24%
35%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1959 |
LIL
0 - 2
REI
32%
23%
46%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |