Saint-Étienne vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
ASS
1 - 0
STL
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1981 |
ASS
0 - 2
PSG
77%
15%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
MET
0 - 0
ASS
29%
28%
43%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1981 |
IPS
3 - 1
ASS
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
ASS
5 - 1
MON
69%
19%
13%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1981 |
LEN
2 - 2
MET
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
MON
1 - 0
LEN
69%
19%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1981 |
LEN
1 - 2
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
AUX
1 - 1
LEN
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
LEN
1 - 0
ANG
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |