Saint-Étienne vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1975 |
MET
1 - 1
ASS
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1975 |
ASS
2 - 1
REI
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1975 |
ASS
5 - 1
TRO
76%
15%
8%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1975 |
LEN
3 - 1
ASS
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1975 |
ASS
3 - 2
BAS
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1975 |
LEN
2 - 3
MAR
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1975 |
LEN
4 - 1
MET
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1975 |
RED
1 - 1
LEN
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1975 |
LEN
3 - 1
ASS
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1975 |
NAN
2 - 1
LEN
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |