Saint-Étienne vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1966 |
NAN
5 - 0
ASS
64%
18%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
ASS
2 - 1
LYO
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
SFP
1 - 2
ASS
35%
24%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
ASS
4 - 0
ANG
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
STR
0 - 1
ASS
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
LEN
1 - 1
SED
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1966 |
ANG
3 - 2
LEN
43%
24%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
VAL
2 - 0
LEN
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
LEN
4 - 2
NIC
62%
20%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
GIR
2 - 1
LEN
61%
20%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |