Champions League Last 16
Global 1-3
Saint-Étienne vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
7.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1969 |
NÎM
1 - 3
ASS
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
ASS
2 - 0
GIR
73%
16%
10%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
WAR
2 - 1
ASS
32%
23%
45%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
ASS
4 - 2
BAS
83%
11%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1969 |
SOC
3 - 3
ASS
27%
26%
48%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1969 |
TSP
3 - 2
WAR
42%
22%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
WAR
2 - 1
ASS
32%
23%
45%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1969 |
WAR
2 - 0
CRA
60%
19%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1969 |
GWA
4 - 1
WAR
50%
21%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
WAR
8 - 0
UTA
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |